A fiscal model of presidential elections in the United States: 1880-1980

Cuzán, Alfred G.; Heggen, Richard J.

A fiscal model of presidential elections in the United States

, , Cuzán, A. G., & Heggen, R. J. (1984). A fiscal model of presidential elections in the United States: 1880-1980. Presidential Studies Quarterly, 14(1), 98-108.

Details

Title: A fiscal model of presidential elections in the United States: 1880-1980
Contributor(s): Alfred G. Cuzán
Richard J. Heggen
Cuzán, Alfred G. (author)
Heggen, Richard J. (author)
Located In: Presidential studies quarterly
ISSN: 0360-4918
Date: 1984
Abstract: The paper presents a model in which the re-election of presidential incumbents is a negative function of increases and accelerations in federal expenditures relative to Gross National Product. Data on 26 elections held between 1880 and 1980 tend to support this hypothesis. We also find that the fiscal-electoral system of the United States exhibits homeostatic behavior similar to those of economic· and physical systems.