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Totalitarianism in the tropics
Five empirical laws of politics
Fidel Castro
A Follow up to the Five Laws of Politics: Paper & Data
Bush the younger
Can Bush be another FDR or Reagan?
Will Barack Obama be a one-term president?
Will The Republicans retake the House in 2010?
Will the Republicans retake the House in 2010?
The 2016 PollyVote popular vote forecast
Combining forecasts for U.S. presidential elections
Forecasting the 2012 presidential election with the fiscal model
Forecasting the 2012 presidential election with the fiscal model
Forecasting the 2012 presidential election with the fiscal model
Fiscal policy and vote-getting efficiency in presidential elections
CV